Category Archives: Rants

dontcha love a recession?

dontcha love a recession?

okay, so, some of you are probably like, “big deal, portland is big because it’s got a lot of park space and it’s kinda rainy – how are those legitimate reasons to leave?”

allow me to assure you that i’ve only hit the tip of the iceberg here. above, we see another humongous factor in this decision: the staggering unemployment rate.

the bureau of labor statistics recently brought that estimate down to about 8%, but an article on the portland business journal website said there’s around 100,000 people looking for work in the area and that 4,200 jobs were lost in the month of march. unemployment statistics are already notorious for being bullshit, but this 8% figure seems especially spurious.

i’m not sure what this article defines as “the area,” but the city of portland is home to less than 600,000. take out about 25% of that to account for people who are either too young or too old to be working, and that leaves us with 450,000. so, even skewing things generously puts things at more like one in every five people are unemployed. this also does not factor in that there are droves of unemployed people decamping to the city from the east coast and other areas.

now, i’m no demographer and i certainly don’t claim that any of my estimates are based on anything more than my cynical view of reality and my continuing belief that we’re in, or about to be in, a depression (hey, paul krugman said it, not me). but i don’t trust this 8% unemployment BS one bit, especially considering that among my acquaintances, the chances of them being unemployed seem to be 1 in 2, or perhaps even 2 in 3. anyway, i like me a good, clear graphical representation of facts, and this here screenshot is yet another reason to try austin instead.

ps: more food for thought from the christian science monitor: “While the economy added 115,000 net jobs in April, some 350,000 Americans gave up looking for work. That has the effect of reducing the unemployment rate because, by the federal government’s calculation, those people no longer count as part of the labor force. As a result, the share of Americans who are part of the labor force – either working or actively looking for work – has reached a 30-year low.” womp-womp.

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portland is a big city. a really, really, *really* big city.

yet another critical thing i failed to grasp about portland before moving here is that it’s fucking enormous. i don’t mean in a “holy shit, there’s so many humongous buildings and things to do and bewildered foreign tourists!” way. i mean in a “holy shit, that show you invited me to is literally fifteen miles away from my house and there’s no way to get there via public transportation!” way.

to give you some idea of how spread out things are, consider the following. there are about as many people in the city limits of portland (583,776 in 2010) as there are in the city limits of boston (617,594). but that’s where the similarity stops. the population density of portland is 4,288 people per square mile. in boston, it’s 12,752 per square mile. portland’s total land area is 134 square miles. boston’s is right around 48 square miles. (thank you, jimmy wales and co.)

That’s not all of it.

i know these figures tend to be a little meaningless when presented out of context, so think of it this way, bostonian friends: imagine charlestown was three times further away from jamaica plain than it actually is. that would put about 23 or so miles between these two parts of town. the orange line would basically become the commuter rail. this is what you’re up against in terms of distances in portland.

i’m not about to start some kind of crusade against the green space here. i love that there are parks in my neighborhood, and it’s nice to even see some empty lots around town – this is no somerville; no sense of sardines in a can (yet). but i would advise against moving out here under the impression that it’s going to be easy to get around. the “state of the art” light rail system is a joke; its service area is spindly and many miles away from the homes of many portlanders. as in boston, the bus system does what it can to patch these gaps, but fare is nearly twice as expensive out here (between $2.10 and $2.40 depending on where you’re headed) and service gets few and far between on weekends – not so great if you depend on it to get around. on sundays, this results in an early curfew that makes the T’s midnight-last-call look like 24-hour service.

bottom line: if you’re packing your carry-on bags in preparation for the city of roses, be sure to start saving up so you can buy a car the second you land. you might have a better time of it than i have if you do. but if multiple-hour-long, dirt-and-mud-drenched bike commutes are your thang, those are free and plentiful ’round these parts!

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portland, oregon: america’s unhappiest city.

hey, i didn’t say it, business week did.

apparently, the “depression rate” is calculated based on antidepressant sales. i can’t say i’m shocked that people are scarfing down the happy pills here. between the weather, the drowning-in-the-toilet economy, and the amount of douchebags from the east coast, there’s not a lot to discourage a person from making a final visit to one of the many tempting bridges in town.

those are my three key complaints, anyway – especially the weather. now, feel free to tell me i should’ve known what i was getting into on that front. no one who knows anything about and/or has spent any time in the pacific northwest is gonna try to get you to believe it’s dry up here. but i looked at all the climate graphs and related wiki articles and all that shit before we moved, and everything i saw indicated that the average total yearly precipitation of portland is comparable to the eastern cities i’ve lived in. this was (and continues to be) true. but the difference that gets swept under the rug – contributing in no small part, i imagine, to people getting duped into moving here – is how often it rains.

in the east and other temperate, forested parts of the country, the rain is sudden and powerful and it doesn’t stick around long. the significant snowfall accumulations contribute to total precipitation amounts as well, and i think even us native upstate new yorkers can agree that even in the moldering dead of our mega-winters, it doesn’t snow every day all day for weeks at a time. instead, we get one or two big blizzards that last for a day and dick up the roads for a few days after. in portland, from what i’ve observed, it rains five or six (or seven) days a week. every week. it doesn’t last all day, and it’s not a torrential downpour, but it’s enough to significantly dampen just about everything you do, especially if you’re unlucky enough to not have a car.

i really cannot over-exaggerate this. i started keeping a count of sunny days. as those are effectively mythical during this time of year, i expanded my count to include the dry-but-overcast days. there were five completely dry days between mid-january, february, march, and the first week of april. as a person who is dependent on biking and walking for transportation, believe me, i kept a careful count.

if you yourself happen to give a fuck about the ability to simultaneously be dry and outdoors, and you think portland’s weather sounds appealing compared to a snowy winter, allow me to direct you to the straight talk express. don’t be taken in by the bullshit average highs you see on weather.com. the only reason why the graph doesn’t say it’s 45-55 year-round except in the two-month-long summer is because every three weeks or so, there’s a day or two of freakish, unseasonably warm weather. below, we have a chart of april’s observed daily temperatures:

Image

OF COURSE the declared average high temperature for april is going to be skewed and completely not indicative of reality when it’s in the mid-50s every day except for that one record-high-breaking weekend. it’s like the slacker who bombs every test in class except for the one or two he bothers to study for, and those stray As salvage his grade.

i guess for some portlanders, these sunny oases do the same; the tiny spatters of nice weather keep them from plunging headlong into the willamette. as i promised yesterday, i’m not about to shit on everything, and even i can admit that when it’s warm here, it’s stunning: minimally humid and pleasantly breezy, with plenty of shade around to boot. but is one weekend a month enough to get by on until the fabled first-week-of-july onset of portland’s brief summer? not for me. i’d rather shovel snow until april fool’s day than slog through nine and a half months of guaranteed constant rain.

well, i’d really rather do neither. so, i’ll see you in three months to the day, austin.

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